Orsm has a resolution as high as 20 km and produces forecasts up to 48 hours . it provides better support in very short - range forecasting 業(yè)務(wù)區(qū)域譜模式的分辨率低至20公里,預(yù)報(bào)時(shí)間長(zhǎng)達(dá)48小時(shí),以支援非常短期預(yù)報(bào)。
Orsm has a resolution as high as 20 km and produces forecasts up to 48 hours . it provides better support in very short - range forecasting 業(yè)務(wù)區(qū)域譜模式的分辨率低至20公里,預(yù)報(bào)時(shí)間長(zhǎng)達(dá)48小時(shí),以支援非常短期預(yù)報(bào)。
Observations obtained from overseas sources as well as from local networks are decoded and quality - checked for doubtful or erroneous data . short - range forecast fields i . e . 3 - hour forecast from 20 - km inner model and 6 - hour forecast from 60 - km outer model from the previous model run are used as first - guess or background in assimilating the latest observational data . objective analyses are then carried out and currently a three - dimensional optimal interpolation method is used to prepare the initial fields for the model forecast 天文臺(tái)從海外及本地網(wǎng)絡(luò)取得觀測(cè)資料,經(jīng)過(guò)譯碼后,便會(huì)進(jìn)行質(zhì)量控制檢查,把可疑和錯(cuò)誤的數(shù)據(jù)剔除,然后利用上一次模式運(yùn)行所得出的短期預(yù)報(bào)場(chǎng),即20公里內(nèi)模式的3小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào)及60公里外模式的6小時(shí)預(yù)報(bào),作為初估背景場(chǎng),再注入最新觀測(cè)數(shù)據(jù),進(jìn)行客觀分析,以得出模式預(yù)報(bào)的初始場(chǎng)。